TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Rocha vs N. Mejia (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with H. Rocha favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Rocha | N. Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.0% | 40.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.3% | 40.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
N. Mejia leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Damm | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Martinez | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | C. O'Connell | 0 - 2 | June 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Soto | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used