TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Dart vs L. Romero Gormaz (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with L. Romero Gormaz favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Dart | L. Romero Gormaz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.3% | 72.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
12.9% | 87.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
20.1% | 79.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Dart | hard | 1679 | 133–94 | 227 |
| L. Romero Gormaz | clay | 1645 | 174–119 | 293 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
L. Romero Gormaz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Stephens | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Dong | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kulambayeva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used