TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Minnen vs J. Burrage (Birmingham on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with G. Minnen favoured at 1.09.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Minnen | J. Burrage |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.4% | 46.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.2% | 41.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.8% | 44.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
84.5% | 15.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Minnen | hard | 1667 | 122–81 | 203 |
| J. Burrage | hard | 1525 | 112–80 | 192 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
G. Minnen leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | G. Minnen | 2 - 1 |
| May 4, 2023 | Saint Malo Challenger Women | clay | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 |
| March 30, 2023 | ITF W60 Croissy-Beaubourg Women | hard | J. Burrage | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | B. Du Pree | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Lohan | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Ercan | 0 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | S. Pushkar | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 0 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used