TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Cadenasso vs L. Riedi (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with L. Riedi favoured at 1.60.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Cadenasso | L. Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.4% | 28.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.8% | 45.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.3% | 58.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Cadenasso | clay | 1634 | 101–62 | 163 |
| L. Riedi | hard | 1730 | 101–51 | 152 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 1, 2026.
L. Riedi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | L. Riedi | 2 - 1 |
| L | F. Cina | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 1 | June 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Riedi | 1 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Broady | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | May 7, 2026 |
| W | H. Stewart | 1 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 0 | June 2, 2026 |
| L | P. Herbert | 2 - 1 | May 22, 2026 |
| W | G. Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | C. Rodesch | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used