TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Davidovich Fokina (moneyline) in F. Marozsan vs A. Davidovich Fokina (Mallorca on 2026-06-26).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Marozsan | A. Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
31.6% | 68.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.5% | 53.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.8% | 58.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.8% | 63.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marozsan | grass | 1625 | 10–13 | 23 |
| A. Davidovich Fokina | grass | 1796 | 22–15 | 37 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.
A. Davidovich Fokina leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 1, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 |
| June 26, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 27, 2024 | ATP Dubai | hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Machac | Walk Over | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorger | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | Sept. 27, 2026 |
| W | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Gea | 0 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
All June 26, 2026 results & picks →