TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Borges vs E. Quinn (Mallorca on 2026-06-26) — the market is efficient, with N. Borges favoured at 1.78.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Borges | E. Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.0% | 49.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.0% | 48.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.7% | 47.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
E. Quinn leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 26, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | E. Quinn | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | O. Luz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | June 27, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 26, 2026 results & picks →
The mathematical consensus shows a microscopic 0.2% edge for N. Borges, resulting in a 0.0 Kelly stake suggestion. While the ML model favors Borges (57.3%), the ELO model strongly disagrees by favoring Quinn (52.2%), signaling high uncertainty. Qualitative factors align slightly with the ML pick, noting Borges has been more efficient (3-0 without dropping a set) and carries less fatigue than Quinn. With zero betting value and conflicting models, the prudent action is to pass.