TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Gill vs M. Trungelliti (Eastbourne on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with F. Gill favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Gill | M. Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Gill | clay | 1662 | 179–87 | 266 |
| M. Trungelliti | clay | 1739 | 160–87 | 247 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 22, 2026.
M. Trungelliti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Gojo | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Basing | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. J. Planinsek | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | W. Jansen | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used