TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Cina vs B. Tomic (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with F. Cina favoured at 1.29.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Cina | B. Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.5% | 59.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.6% | 27.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
F. Cina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Cina | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Ymer | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Giustino | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Michalski | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Boyer | Walk Over | July 27, 2026 |
| W | M. Tobon | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used