TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Auger-Aliassime vs F. Cobolli (French Open on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with F. Auger-Aliassime favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Auger-Aliassime | F. Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.8% | 59.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.9% | 59.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Auger-Aliassime | hard | 1996 | 169–85 | 254 |
| F. Cobolli | clay | 1896 | 132–82 | 214 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
F. Cobolli leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 3, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Cobolli | 3 - 1 |
| July 20, 2025 | ATP Hopman Cup | clay | F. Cobolli | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 8, 2024 | Montreal | hard | F. Cobolli | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 27, 2024 | ATP Acapulco | hard | F. Cobolli | 2 - 1 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Prizmic | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 0 - 3 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 0 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 1 - 3 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used