TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Sabalenka vs D. Shnaider (French Open on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with A. Sabalenka favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Sabalenka | D. Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
74.8% | 25.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
85.8% | 14.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
80.7% | 19.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
80.4% | 19.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.8% | 17.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sabalenka | hard | 2224 | 196–58 | 254 |
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1841 | 98–62 | 160 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
D. Shnaider leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 3, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Shnaider | 2 - 1 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used