E. Navarro vs G. Ruse — Prediction & Analysis

Bad Homburg · WTA Bad Homburg - Quarter-finals · June 25, 2026 · 11:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Ruse (moneyline) in E. Navarro vs G. Ruse (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-25).

Surface grass Odds E. Navarro 1.54 · G. Ruse 2.55

Bot bet

G. Ruse (moneyline) · 1.3u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: E. Navarro · G. Ruse · head-to-head record · Bad Homburg

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Navarro G. Ruse
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
52.9% 47.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
58.1% 41.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
52.9% 47.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
54.6% 45.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
62.3% 37.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Navarro grass1807 29–1443
G. Ruse grass1780 19–1332

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.

Head to head

E. Navarro leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 25, 2026Bad HomburggrassG. Ruse2 - 0
Feb. 16, 2026WTA DubaihardE. Navarro2 - 0
Sept. 27, 2025BeijinghardE. Navarro2 - 0
May 18, 2024Paris Challenger WomenclayE. Navarro2 - 0

Recent form

E. Navarro

L J. Pegula 2 - 1 Sept. 9, 2026
W A. Kalinskaya 0 - 2 Sept. 7, 2026
W K. Muchova 2 - 0 Sept. 4, 2026
W C. McNally 2 - 1 Sept. 2, 2026
W L. Boisson 2 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026

G. Ruse

L Y. Putintseva 0 - 1 Oct. 10, 2026
L L. Noskova 2 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026
W L. Tagger 2 - 0 Sept. 30, 2026
L A. Bondar 2 - 1 Sept. 26, 2026
W Y. Ku 1 - 2 Sept. 24, 2026

All June 25, 2026 results & picks →

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