TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Kalieva (moneyline) at 2.79 in E. Kalieva vs L. Tararudee (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Kalieva | L. Tararudee |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.8% | 55.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.1% | 54.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.8% | 64.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Kalieva | hard | 1656 | 95–89 | 184 |
| L. Tararudee | hard | 1806 | 154–79 | 233 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
L. Tararudee leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 30, 2026 | US Open | hard | L. Tararudee | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Day | 0 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| W | V. Valdmannova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 1 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Mladenovic | 2 - 1 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 1 - 2 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Timofeeva | 1 - 2 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| W | E. Jones | 2 - 0 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →