TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Kalieva (moneyline) at 2.79 in E. Kalieva vs L. Tararudee (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Kalieva | L. Tararudee |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.8% | 55.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.1% | 54.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.8% | 64.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Kalieva | hard | 1620 | 100–95 | 195 |
| L. Tararudee | hard | 1759 | 159–85 | 244 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.
L. Tararudee leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 30, 2026 | US Open | hard | L. Tararudee | 2 - 1 |
| L | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. McDonald | 1 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | S. Broadus | 2 - 1 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| L | K. Penickova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| L | K. Okamura | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| L | K. Siniakova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →