E. Arango vs Xin. Wang — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · WTA US Open - 1/64-finals · Aug. 30, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 20.5 games at 1.96 in E. Arango vs Xin. Wang (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds E. Arango 2.98 · Xin. Wang 1.46

Bot bet

Under 20.5 games @ 1.96 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: E. Arango · Xin. Wang · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Arango Xin. Wang
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
29.5% 70.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
35.6% 64.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
48.0% 52.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
29.5% 70.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
32.9% 67.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Arango hard1573 66–67133
Xin. Wang hard1739 99–90189

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 13, 2026.

Head to head

Xin. Wang leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 30, 2026US OpenhardXin. Wang2 - 0
Feb. 9, 2026WTA DohahardXin. Wang2 - 0
Aug. 8, 2025CincinnatihardXin. Wang2 - 0

Recent form

E. Arango

L P. Stearns 2 - 0 Sept. 13, 2026
L C. Y. Lee 0 - 2 Sept. 9, 2026
W M. P. Perez Garcia 2 - 0 Sept. 8, 2026
L Xin. Wang 0 - 2 Aug. 30, 2026
L P. Udvardy 2 - 1 Aug. 22, 2026

Xin. Wang

L A. Kalinskaya 1 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
W E. Arango 0 - 2 Aug. 30, 2026
L A. Sabalenka 2 - 0 Aug. 18, 2026
W D. Vekic 2 - 1 Aug. 16, 2026
W H. Vandewinkel 2 - 0 Aug. 14, 2026

All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →