TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. Bucsa (moneyline) at 2.02 in D. Yastremska vs C. Bucsa (Wuhan on 2026-10-12). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Yastremska | C. Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.7% | 51.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.6% | 72.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.1% | 58.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1690 | 92–90 | 182 |
| C. Bucsa | hard | 1727 | 138–105 | 243 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.
D. Yastremska leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 13, 2026 | Wuhan | hard | D. Yastremska | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 9, 2026 | WTA Doha | hard | D. Yastremska | 2 - 1 |
| March 3, 2022 | Lyon | hard | D. Yastremska | 2 - 0 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | E. Jones | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | X. You | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Yastremska | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | X. Sun | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
All Oct. 12, 2026 results & picks →