TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Sakkari (moneyline) at 1.70 in M. Sakkari vs D. Vekic (Wuhan on 2026-10-12). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sakkari | D. Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.4% | 35.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.4% | 36.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.9% | 34.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.6% | 35.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.0% | 38.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sakkari | hard | 1854 | 123–87 | 210 |
| D. Vekic | hard | 1656 | 76–80 | 156 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 7, 2026.
Level at 3–3 over 6 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 12, 2026 | Wuhan | hard | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 19, 2025 | Monterrey | hard | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 |
| April 25, 2024 | WTA Madrid | clay | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| June 24, 2023 | WTA Berlin | grass | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 10, 2023 | Linz | clay | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Eala | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 1 - 2 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| W | L. Zhu | 2 - 1 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | 0 - 2 | Sept. 22, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 2 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
All Oct. 12, 2026 results & picks →