D. Sweeny vs J. Shang — Prediction & Analysis

Brisbane 3 · · Nov. 13, 2026 · 02:30 UTC

AI match preview for D. Sweeny vs J. Shang (Brisbane 3 on 2026-11-13): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. J. Shang is the market favourite at 1.54.

Surface hard Odds D. Sweeny 2.28 · J. Shang 1.54

No verdict yet

This match has not been through the analyst pass, so there is no bet and no verdict to publish. The models, form and market data below are the inputs it would read.
Profiles: D. Sweeny · J. Shang · head-to-head record · Brisbane 3

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method D. Sweeny J. Shang
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
36.5% 63.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
36.7% 63.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
47.4% 52.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
40.2% 59.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
40.3% 59.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
D. Sweeny hard1600 231–138369
J. Shang hard1701 97–65162

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.

Head to head

J. Shang leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Nov. 13, 2026Brisbane 3hardJ. Shang2 - 1
Sept. 7, 2023Shanghai Challenger MenhardJ. Shang2 - 0

Recent form

D. Sweeny

L J. Shang 1 - 2 Nov. 13, 2026
W C. Hoole 2 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W A. Shepp 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L S. Mochizuki 2 - 0 Oct. 15, 2026
W B. Tomic 0 - 0 Oct. 13, 2026

J. Shang

W D. Sweeny 1 - 2 Nov. 13, 2026
W C. E. Overbeck 1 - 2 Nov. 12, 2026
W Ja. Delaney 1 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
L L. Harris 2 - 0 Oct. 26, 2026
L A. Zverev 2 - 0 Oct. 3, 2026

All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →

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