TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Parry (moneyline) at 3.50 in D. Parry vs S. Cirstea (US Open on 2026-09-02). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Parry | S. Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.6% | 69.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.8% | 60.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.4% | 63.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.0% | 70.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Parry | hard | 1688 | 68–79 | 147 |
| S. Cirstea | hard | 1867 | 102–70 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 27, 2026.
S. Cirstea leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 2, 2026 | US Open | hard | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Bucsa | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 2 - 0 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| L | P. Stearns | 0 - 2 | Sept. 15, 2026 |
| L | A. Shubladze | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
All Sept. 2, 2026 results & picks →