TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Parry (moneyline) at 3.50 in D. Parry vs S. Cirstea (US Open on 2026-09-02). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Parry | S. Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.6% | 69.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.8% | 60.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.4% | 63.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.0% | 70.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Parry | hard | 1761 | 68–74 | 142 |
| S. Cirstea | hard | 1926 | 99–66 | 165 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.
S. Cirstea leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 2, 2026 | US Open | hard | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Cirstea | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 | Aug. 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | C. Tauson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 0 - 2 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
All Sept. 2, 2026 results & picks →