TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Parry vs C. Paquet (Paris on 2026-05-13) — the market is efficient, with D. Parry favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Parry | C. Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.4% | 38.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.1% | 45.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.3% | 33.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
C. Paquet leads 4–2 over 6 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Paris | clay | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| July 19, 2024 | Palermo | clay | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 26, 2022 | W80 Poitiers | hard | C. Paquet | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 18, 2022 | Rouen | hard | C. Paquet | 2 - 1 |
| June 17, 2021 | W25 Denain | clay | C. Paquet | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Day | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Lazaro Garcia | 1 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | V. Strakhova | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | V. Ivanov | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 13, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used