TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Zakharova vs K. Boulter (Paris on 2026-05-13) — the market is efficient, with K. Boulter favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Zakharova | K. Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.9% | 51.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.1% | 58.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
31.9% | 68.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.5% | 64.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zakharova | hard | 1771 | 168–89 | 257 |
| K. Boulter | hard | 1758 | 102–70 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Paris | clay | A. Zakharova | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 1, 2024 | WTA Hong Kong | hard | K. Boulter | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | H. Vandewinkel | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. C. Grant | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Vekic | 0 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
All May 13, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used