TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Ruud vs T. Paul (French Open on 2026-05-29) — the market is efficient, with C. Ruud favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Ruud | T. Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.5% | 34.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.7% | 21.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.3% | 34.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.2% | 29.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
C. Ruud leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | French Open | clay | C. Ruud | 3 - 2 |
| March 14, 2024 | ATP Indian Wells | hard | T. Paul | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 24, 2023 | ATP Laver Cup | hard | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 2, 2022 | US Open | hard | C. Ruud | 3 - 2 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 3 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Kwon | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Muller | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
All May 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used