TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Osorio vs P. Udvardy (Rabat on 2026-05-21) — the market is efficient, with C. Osorio favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Osorio | P. Udvardy |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.6% | 52.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.9% | 52.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.2% | 51.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.4% | 31.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Osorio | hard | 1807 | 72–65 | 137 |
| P. Udvardy | clay | 1702 | 179–102 | 281 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
Level at 2–2 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Rabat | clay | P. Udvardy | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 8, 2024 | Cali Challenger Women | clay | P. Udvardy | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 16, 2023 | Australian Open | hard | C. Osorio | 2 - 0 |
| June 24, 2021 | Wimbledon | grass | C. Osorio | 2 - 1 |
| W | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Hunter | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 1 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 21, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used