C. Diaz Adrover vs S. Sakellaridi — Prediction & Analysis

Mallorca · Mallorca - Semi-finals · Oct. 11, 2026 · 13:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. Diaz Adrover +4.0 (game handicap) at 1.74 in C. Diaz Adrover vs S. Sakellaridi (Mallorca on 2026-10-11). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds C. Diaz Adrover 2.36 · S. Sakellaridi 1.49

Bot bet

C. Diaz Adrover +4.0 (game handicap) @ 1.74 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: C. Diaz Adrover · S. Sakellaridi · head-to-head record · Mallorca

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method C. Diaz Adrover S. Sakellaridi
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
47.1% 52.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
41.1% 58.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
78.3% 21.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
55.5% 44.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
38.7% 61.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
C. Diaz Adrover clay1310 80–53133
S. Sakellaridi clay1325 193–175368

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 10, 2026.

Head to head

C. Diaz Adrover leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 11, 2026MallorcaclayC. Diaz Adrover2 - 1
Aug. 28, 2024ITF W50 Oldenzaal WomenclayC. Diaz Adrover2 - 0

Recent form

C. Diaz Adrover

L M. Paoletti 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L I. Wobker 2 - 0 Oct. 12, 2026
W S. Sakellaridi 2 - 1 Oct. 11, 2026
L C. M. Garcia 0 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026
W L. Solar Donoso 2 - 0 Oct. 6, 2026

S. Sakellaridi

W E. R. Bertea 0 - 2 Nov. 12, 2026
W A. Stankovic 2 - 1 Nov. 10, 2026
L R. Serban 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L E. Chiesa 1 - 2 Oct. 26, 2026
L A. Obradovic 2 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026

All Oct. 11, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →