L. Nguyen Tan vs M. Sagrista Bermejo — Prediction & Analysis

Mallorca · Mallorca - Semi-finals · Oct. 11, 2026 · 08:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Sagrista Bermejo +7.0 (game handicap) at 2.07 in L. Nguyen Tan vs M. Sagrista Bermejo (Mallorca on 2026-10-11). Result: PUSH.

Surface clay Odds L. Nguyen Tan 1.02 · M. Sagrista Bermejo 6.40

Bot bet

M. Sagrista Bermejo +7.0 (game handicap) @ 2.07 · 1.0u
Result: PUSH
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: L. Nguyen Tan · M. Sagrista Bermejo · head-to-head record · Mallorca

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method L. Nguyen Tan M. Sagrista Bermejo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
88.0% 12.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
88.0% 12.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
88.0% 12.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
86.3% 13.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
L. Nguyen Tan clay1481 92–85177
M. Sagrista Bermejo clay1155 2–57

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.

Head to head

L. Nguyen Tan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 11, 2026MallorcaclayL. Nguyen Tan2 - 0

Recent form

L. Nguyen Tan

L T. N. Smith 2 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W D. Glushkova 0 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
L M. Matoula 1 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W L. S. Steur J. 1 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W A. Lew Yan Foon 0 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026

M. Sagrista Bermejo

L M. Toma 0 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W F. Sziedat 2 - 1 Nov. 10, 2026
L L. Nguyen Tan 2 - 0 Oct. 11, 2026
L D. Tran 2 - 0 Dec. 5, 2025
W M. Oliver Sanchez 0 - 2 Dec. 4, 2025

All Oct. 11, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →