TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Maristany +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.94 in C. Burel vs G. Maristany (Montreux on 2026-09-11). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Burel | G. Maristany |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.5% | 47.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.7% | 33.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burel | clay | 1726 | 76–53 | 129 |
| G. Maristany | clay | 1681 | 126–88 | 214 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 20, 2026.
C. Burel leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 16, 2026 | Lisbon (Portugal) - Qualification | — | C. Burel | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 18, 2026 | Valencia | clay | C. Burel | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 11, 2026 | Montreux | clay | G. Maristany | 2 - 1 |
| L | O. Dodin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Radivojevic | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Szostak | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Mattel | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 2 - 0 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Matoula | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | G. Feistel | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | Sept. 27, 2026 |
| W | J. Pieri | 2 - 0 | Sept. 26, 2026 |
All Sept. 11, 2026 results & picks →