TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Maristany +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.94 in C. Burel vs G. Maristany (Montreux on 2026-09-11). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Burel | G. Maristany |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.5% | 47.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.7% | 33.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burel | clay | 1658 | 71–53 | 124 |
| G. Maristany | clay | 1651 | 120–86 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 11, 2026.
G. Maristany leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 11, 2026 | Montreux | clay | G. Maristany | 2 - 1 |
| L | G. Maristany | 1 - 2 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | K. Tsygourova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | F. Urgesi | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| L | N. Noha Akugue | 2 - 0 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Burel | 1 - 2 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Trevisan | 1 - 2 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
All Sept. 11, 2026 results & picks →