TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Vergara Rivera (moneyline) at 2.79 in C. Alves vs A. Vergara Rivera (Barranquilla on 2026-09-07). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Alves | A. Vergara Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.6% | 49.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.1% | 47.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
85.5% | 14.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.8% | 37.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.6% | 29.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Alves | hard | 1378 | 25–32 | 57 |
| A. Vergara Rivera | hard | 1219 | 5–7 | 12 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 8, 2026.
C. Alves leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 7, 2026 | Barranquilla | hard | C. Alves | 2 - 0 |
| June 14, 2026 | W35 Cuiaba | clay | C. Alves | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| W | A. Vergara Rivera | 2 - 0 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| L | L. Mi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | S. Da Cruz Mendonca | 0 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | M. J. Sanchez Uribe | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Mikulskyte | 2 - 0 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| L | C. Alves | 2 - 0 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| L | L. Encheva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | S. De Stefano | 2 - 1 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
| L | D. Astakhova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
All Sept. 7, 2026 results & picks →