TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Zverev vs R. Collignon (Halle on 2026-06-19) — the market is efficient, with A. Zverev favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Zverev | R. Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.6% | 30.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
76.5% | 23.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.5% | 46.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.8% | 24.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zverev | hard | 2032 | 173–66 | 239 |
| R. Collignon | clay | 1830 | 136–49 | 185 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
A. Zverev leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 19, 2026 | Halle | grass | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Fery | 0 - 3 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | T. Fritz | 0 - 3 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | J. Lehecka | 1 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | M. Giron | 0 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All June 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used