TennisEdge's AI bot is backing B. Shelton (moneyline) at 2.28 in A. Zverev vs B. Shelton (US Open on 2026-09-13). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Zverev | B. Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.0% | 44.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.2% | 46.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.9% | 53.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.0% | 48.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
56.6% | 43.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zverev | hard | 2052 | 188–68 | 256 |
| B. Shelton | hard | 2025 | 156–70 | 226 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 13, 2026.
A. Zverev leads 6–0 over 6 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 13, 2026 | US Open | hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 1 |
| Nov. 9, 2025 | Finals - Turin | hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 16, 2025 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| June 14, 2025 | Stuttgart | grass | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| April 20, 2025 | Munich | clay | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| W | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 3 - 0 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 3 - 1 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 1 - 3 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | C. Alcaraz | 3 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 3 - 1 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
All Sept. 13, 2026 results & picks →