A. Shevchenko vs D. Stricker — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - 1/8-finals · July 16, 2026 · 10:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Shevchenko (moneyline) at 2.00 in A. Shevchenko vs D. Stricker (Gstaad on 2026-07-16). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds A. Shevchenko 2.05 · D. Stricker 1.68

Bot bet

A. Shevchenko (moneyline) @ 2.00 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Shevchenko · D. Stricker · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Shevchenko D. Stricker
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
65.3% 34.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
60.1% 39.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
71.5% 28.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
59.5% 40.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
45.0% 55.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Shevchenko clay1703 127–87214
D. Stricker clay1666 59–45104

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

A. Shevchenko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 17, 2026GstaadclayA. Shevchenko2 - 0

Recent form

A. Shevchenko

L T. A. Tirante 2 - 1 Nov. 12, 2026
W C. Ruud 2 - 1 Nov. 11, 2026
W A. Mannarino 0 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
W J. Fearnley 0 - 2 Nov. 8, 2026
W V. Durasovic 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026

D. Stricker

L C. Ruud 1 - 2 Oct. 26, 2026
L J. Kym Walk Over Oct. 16, 2026
W O. Virtanen 2 - 1 Oct. 15, 2026
W P. Henning 2 - 0 Oct. 14, 2026
L L. Djere 0 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026

All July 16, 2026 results & picks →

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