A. Shevchenko vs D. Stricker — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - 1/8-finals · July 16, 2026 · 10:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Shevchenko (moneyline) at 2.00 in A. Shevchenko vs D. Stricker (Gstaad on 2026-07-16). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds A. Shevchenko 2.05 · D. Stricker 1.68

Bot bet

A. Shevchenko (moneyline) @ 2.00 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Shevchenko · D. Stricker · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Shevchenko D. Stricker
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
65.3% 34.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
60.1% 39.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
71.5% 28.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
59.5% 40.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
45.0% 55.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Shevchenko clay1703 127–87214
D. Stricker clay1662 57–44101

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

A. Shevchenko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 17, 2026GstaadclayA. Shevchenko2 - 0

Recent form

A. Shevchenko

L D. Prizmic 3 - 2 Aug. 30, 2026
L B. Van De Zandschulp 2 - 0 Aug. 14, 2026
L C. O'Connell 0 - 2 Aug. 13, 2026
W P. Llamas Ruiz 2 - 0 Aug. 11, 2026
L K. Jacquet 1 - 2 Aug. 1, 2026

D. Stricker

L M. Krumich 0 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026
W B. Hassan 1 - 2 Aug. 22, 2026
W T. Compagnucci 2 - 0 Aug. 21, 2026
W M. Brunold 2 - 0 Aug. 20, 2026
W L. Ratti 2 - 0 Aug. 19, 2026

All July 16, 2026 results & picks →

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