A. Bublik vs Q. Halys — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - 1/8-finals · July 16, 2026 · 10:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Q. Halys (moneyline) at 3.20 in A. Bublik vs Q. Halys (Gstaad on 2026-07-16). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds A. Bublik 1.33 · Q. Halys 2.81

Bot bet

Q. Halys (moneyline) @ 3.20 · 1.0u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Bublik · Q. Halys · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Bublik Q. Halys
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
60.8% 39.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
70.3% 29.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
54.4% 45.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
60.8% 39.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
67.9% 32.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Bublik clay1818 40–3474
Q. Halys clay1844 53–4093

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.

Head to head

Q. Halys leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 25, 2026KitzbuhelclayQ. Halys2 - 0
July 17, 2026GstaadclayQ. Halys2 - 1

Recent form

A. Bublik

L D. Medvedev 1 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026
W K. Khachanov 2 - 1 Oct. 23, 2026
L A. Zverev 2 - 1 Oct. 13, 2026
W B. Nakashima 2 - 1 Oct. 11, 2026
W T. Machac 2 - 0 Oct. 9, 2026

Q. Halys

L L. Sonego 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L T. Paul 2 - 0 Nov. 5, 2026
W F. Tiafoe 2 - 1 Nov. 4, 2026
W A. Fery 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Rune 2 - 1 Oct. 26, 2026

All July 16, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →