TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Sasnovich vs A. Blinkova (Paris on 2026-05-14) — the market is efficient, with A. Sasnovich favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Sasnovich | A. Blinkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.3% | 45.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.6% | 40.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.7% | 34.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sasnovich | hard | 1737 | 89–80 | 169 |
| A. Blinkova | hard | 1646 | 101–95 | 196 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
A. Sasnovich leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14, 2026 | Athens (Greece) - Qualification | hard | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Paris | clay | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 5, 2026 | WTA Brisbane | hard | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 |
| July 20, 2025 | Washington | hard | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | S. Hunter | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | H. Watson | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
All May 14, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used