TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Charaeva vs T. Korpatsch (Paris on 2026-05-14) — the market is efficient, with A. Charaeva favoured at 1.67.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Charaeva | T. Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.0% | 52.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.1% | 44.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1610 | 75–54 | 129 |
| T. Korpatsch | clay | 1772 | 122–71 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 20, 2026.
A. Charaeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Paris | clay | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Bondar | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Sherif | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Stusek | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
All May 14, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used