A. Potapova vs S. Kraus — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · WTA Beijing - 1/32-finals · Oct. 2, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Kraus +4.5 (game handicap) at 2.06 in A. Potapova vs S. Kraus (Beijing on 2026-10-02). Result: VOID.

Surface hard Odds A. Potapova 1.23 · S. Kraus 4.18

Bot bet

S. Kraus +4.5 (game handicap) @ 2.06 · 1.25u
Result: VOID
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Potapova · S. Kraus · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Potapova S. Kraus
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
65.7% 34.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
67.6% 32.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
35.8% 64.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
56.4% 43.6%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
77.3% 22.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Potapova hard1727 85–87172
S. Kraus hard1707 56–59115

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 2, 2026.

Head to head

S. Kraus leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 2, 2026BeijinghardS. Kraus0 - 0
April 21, 2026MadridclayS. Kraus2 - 1

Recent form

A. Potapova

L S. Kraus 0 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026
L M. Andreeva 2 - 1 Sept. 7, 2026
W A. Anisimova 2 - 0 Sept. 5, 2026
W L. Jeanjean 2 - 1 Sept. 3, 2026
W D. Semenistaja 2 - 0 Sept. 1, 2026

S. Kraus

L P. Badosa 2 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
W P. Udvardy 0 - 2 Oct. 26, 2026
L T. Gibson 2 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026
W C. McNally 0 - 1 Oct. 19, 2026
W S. Kenin 2 - 0 Oct. 18, 2026

All Oct. 2, 2026 results & picks →

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