TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Semenistaja (moneyline) at 4.50 in A. Potapova vs D. Semenistaja (US Open on 2026-09-01). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Potapova | D. Semenistaja |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.1% | 27.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.1% | 34.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.8% | 21.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Potapova | hard | 1727 | 85–87 | 172 |
| D. Semenistaja | hard | 1564 | 67–55 | 122 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 2, 2026.
A. Potapova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 1, 2026 | US Open | hard | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Kraus | 0 - 0 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 2 - 1 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Anisimova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Lollia | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | T. Kostovic | 0 - 2 | Sept. 16, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | Sept. 15, 2026 |
| L | A. Tikhonova | 2 - 1 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
All Sept. 1, 2026 results & picks →