TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Tabilo (moneyline) at 1.74 in A. Popyrin vs A. Tabilo (US Open on 2026-09-02). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Popyrin | A. Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
6.7% | 93.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.2% | 66.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.4% | 54.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Popyrin | hard | 1681 | 88–100 | 188 |
| A. Tabilo | hard | 1818 | 80–64 | 144 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 3, 2026 | US Open | hard | A. Tabilo | 3 - 1 |
| May 28, 2025 | French Open | clay | A. Popyrin | 3 - 0 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 1 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | H. Gaston | 0 - 0 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| W | F. Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 0 - 2 | Aug. 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Popyrin | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 1 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 2 - 0 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| W | J-L. Struff | 0 - 2 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
All Sept. 2, 2026 results & picks →