TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Pellegrino vs L. Harris (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with A. Pellegrino favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Pellegrino | L. Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
80.6% | 19.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
79.6% | 20.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.0% | 43.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.4% | 27.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
61.0% | 39.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pellegrino | clay | 1724 | 175–135 | 310 |
| L. Harris | hard | 1749 | 98–64 | 162 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
A. Pellegrino leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. Bueno | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | J. D. Silva | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | H. Searle | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Echargui | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | Y. Bu | 2 - 1 | June 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 1 | May 20, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used