TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Moro Canas vs L. Neumayer (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with L. Neumayer favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Moro Canas | L. Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.4% | 66.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.2% | 73.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.3% | 60.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.9% | 67.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.7% | 66.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moro Canas | clay | 1578 | 92–83 | 175 |
| L. Neumayer | clay | 1671 | 185–123 | 308 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 15, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | L. Neumayer | 2 - 0 |
| June 5, 2022 | Bratislava | clay | A. Moro Canas | 2 - 1 |
| W | R. Bertrand | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | O. Crawford | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Giunta | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Kwon | 0 - 3 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | F. Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. C. Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Topo | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Poljicak | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used