TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Molcan vs F. Gill (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with A. Molcan favoured at 1.29.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Molcan | F. Gill |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.8% | 42.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
70.5% | 29.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.8% | 39.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.5% | 27.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Gill | 2 - 1 |
| May 16, 2025 | M25 Reggio Emilia | clay | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. H. Tseng | 1 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | D. Altmaier | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used