TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Michelsen vs R. Jodar (French Open on 2026-05-29) — the market is efficient, with R. Jodar favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Michelsen | R. Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
17.7% | 82.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
14.3% | 85.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.8% | 73.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
19.6% | 80.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
17.2% | 82.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Michelsen | hard | 1895 | 148–85 | 233 |
| R. Jodar | hard | 1905 | 67–22 | 89 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
R. Jodar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | French Open | clay | R. Jodar | 3 - 2 |
| W | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. McDonald | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Musetti | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
All May 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used