TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. M. Jong vs S. Mochizuki (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with S. Mochizuki favoured at 1.38.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. M. Jong | S. Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
71.9% | 28.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
83.7% | 16.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
77.8% | 22.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.5% | 67.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. M. Jong | clay | 1410 | 52–33 | 85 |
| S. Mochizuki | hard | 1558 | 118–110 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
A. M. Jong leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | A. M. Jong | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Petkovic | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | M. Chazal | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Juan Mano | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | E. Vasa | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. Schifris | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | D. Sweeny | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | H. Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Broom | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Monday | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used