TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Krueger vs L. Giovannini (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with A. Krueger favoured at 1.47.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Krueger | L. Giovannini |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
24.2% | 75.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.8% | 70.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
31.8% | 68.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.6% | 71.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.4% | 36.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Krueger | hard | 1720 | 94–83 | 177 |
| L. Giovannini | clay | 1663 | 128–49 | 177 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
A. Krueger leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Krueger | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Bolkvadze | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Mazzola | 1 - 2 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | F. Pace | 2 - 0 | June 3, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used