TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Korneeva vs E. Cocciaretto (French Open on 2026-05-25) — the market is efficient, with E. Cocciaretto favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Korneeva | E. Cocciaretto |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.4% | 54.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.5% | 44.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.7% | 54.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.4% | 63.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1826 | 106–32 | 138 |
| E. Cocciaretto | clay | 1690 | 94–47 | 141 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Korneeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | T. Gibson | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Tauson | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
All May 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used