TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Koevermans (moneyline) at 4.93 in A. Koevermans vs C. McNally (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Koevermans | C. McNally |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.7% | 71.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.6% | 76.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.6% | 42.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.4% | 68.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.3% | 81.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Koevermans | hard | 1618 | 62–52 | 114 |
| C. McNally | hard | 1746 | 91–72 | 163 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 15, 2026.
C. McNally leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 31, 2026 | US Open | hard | C. McNally | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Boskovic | 0 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | E. Andreeva | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | C. Werner | 2 - 0 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Raina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| L | A. Akli | 0 - 2 | Sept. 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 0 - 1 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | Y. Starodubtseva | 2 - 1 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →