TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Gea +3.0 (game handicap) at 1.91 in A. Gea vs B. Van De Zandschulp (US Open on 2026-09-07). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Gea | B. Van De Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.1% | 48.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.7% | 60.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gea | hard | 1877 | 100–36 | 136 |
| B. Van De Zandschulp | hard | 1838 | 118–88 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 7, 2026.
B. Van De Zandschulp leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 7, 2026 | US Open | hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 2 |
| L | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 3 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 2 - 3 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | Z. Svajda | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 3 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | N. Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | A. Gea | 2 - 3 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 3 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Choinski | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
All Sept. 7, 2026 results & picks →