A. Bublik vs J. Wolf — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · ATP US Open - 1/64-finals · Aug. 30, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Bublik (moneyline) at 1.42 in A. Bublik vs J. Wolf (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds A. Bublik 1.35 · J. Wolf 3.25

Bot bet

A. Bublik (moneyline) @ 1.42 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Bublik · J. Wolf · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Bublik J. Wolf
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
74.6% 25.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
76.5% 23.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
73.0% 26.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
73.5% 26.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
70.7% 29.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Bublik hard1881 113–95208
J. Wolf hard1705 116–86202

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 4, 2026.

Head to head

Level at 2–2 over 4 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 31, 2026US OpenhardA. Bublik3 - 1
July 6, 2023ATP WimbledongrassA. Bublik3 - 0
March 22, 2023ATP MiamihardJ. Wolf2 - 0
Oct. 14, 2022FlorenceclayJ. Wolf2 - 1

Recent form

A. Bublik

L T. Paul 2 - 3 Sept. 4, 2026
W A. Mannarino 3 - 0 Sept. 2, 2026
W J. Wolf 3 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L Q. Halys 0 - 2 July 25, 2026
W T. M. Etcheverry 2 - 0 July 24, 2026

J. Wolf

W L. E. Ambrogi 2 - 0 Sept. 14, 2026
L A. Bublik 3 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L J. Duckworth 0 - 2 Aug. 14, 2026
W S. Shimabukuro 1 - 2 Aug. 13, 2026
W S. Mochizuki 2 - 1 Aug. 12, 2026

All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →