TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Z. Bergs vs J. Munar (Eastbourne on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with Z. Bergs favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Bergs | J. Munar |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.8% | 56.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.7% | 51.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 30, 2025 | US Open | hard | J. Munar | 3 - 0 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
| W | R. Hijikata | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Lehecka | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Fearnley | 0 - 3 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used