TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Wu vs N. Djokovic (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with N. Djokovic favoured at 1.04.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Wu | N. Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
2.0% | 98.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
24.3% | 75.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
2.0% | 98.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
7.4% | 92.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Wu | hard | 1769 | 88–36 | 124 |
| N. Djokovic | hard | 2085 | 127–26 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
N. Djokovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | N. Djokovic | 3 - 1 |
| L | Y. Bu | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Langmo | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | P. Marinkov | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | P. Maloney | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | S. Kozlov | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | R. Safiullin | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used