TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Charaeva +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.72 in Y. Starodubtseva vs A. Charaeva (Beijing on 2026-10-01). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Starodubtseva | A. Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.2% | 49.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
61.1% | 38.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
59.6% | 40.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Starodubtseva | hard | 1641 | 73–60 | 133 |
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1723 | 88–62 | 150 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.
A. Charaeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 1, 2026 | Beijing | hard | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | C. McNally | 2 - 1 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 1 - 2 | Oct. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | N. Noha Akugue | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Knutson | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
All Oct. 1, 2026 results & picks →