TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Kotliar vs O. Selekhmeteva (Contrexeville on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with O. Selekhmeteva favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Kotliar | O. Selekhmeteva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
26.4% | 73.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
6.0% | 94.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.4% | 73.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
19.2% | 80.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Kotliar | clay | 1511 | 71–48 | 119 |
| O. Selekhmeteva | clay | 1627 | 102–59 | 161 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
O. Selekhmeteva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | O. Selekhmeteva | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Ristic | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Spiteri | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Prisacariu | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | A. Mazzola | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Hodzic | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | A. Ito | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Yaneva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Vandromme | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | Y. Kotliar | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used