TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Kabbaj vs M. Sherif (Contrexeville on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.17.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Kabbaj | M. Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
18.9% | 81.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.6% | 69.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
18.9% | 81.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
19.0% | 81.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 |
| W | T. Lemaitre | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Gorgodze | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Chiesa | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Perelygina | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used