TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Xin. Wang (moneyline) in Xin. Wang vs N. Osaka (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-26).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Xin. Wang | N. Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.1% | 34.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.6% | 64.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.9% | 60.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.8% | 53.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.1% | 68.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.
N. Osaka leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 26, 2026 | Bad Homburg | grass | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Karunaratne | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Pohankova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 1 - 2 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
All June 26, 2026 results & picks →